Covariance Structure

This vignette details the different covariance structures available in clustTMB.

Random Effect Covariance Matrices

Covariance Notation No..of.Parameters Data.requirements
Spatial GMRF gmrf 2 spatial coordinates
AR(1) ar1 2 unit spaced levels
Rank Reduction rr(random = H) JH - (H(H-1))/2
Spatial Rank Reduction rr(spatial = H) 1 + JH - (H(H-1))/2 spatial coordinates

Spatial GMRF

clustTMB fits spatial random effects using a Gaussian Markov Random Field (GMRF). The precision matrix, \(Q\), of the GMRF is the inverse of a Matern covariance function and takes two parameters: 1) \(\kappa\), which is the spatial decay parameter and a scaled function of the spatial range, \(\phi = \sqrt{8}/\kappa\), the distance at which two locations are considered independent; and 2) \(\tau\), which is a function of \(\kappa\) and the marginal spatial variance \(\sigma^{2}\):

\[\tau = \frac{1}{2\sqrt{\pi}\kappa\sigma}.\] The precision matrix is approximated following the SPDE-FEM approach [@Lindgren2011], where a constrained Delaunay triangulation network is used to discretize the spatial extent in order to determine a GMRF for a set of irregularly spaced locations, i$.

\[\omega_{i} \sim GMRF(Q[\kappa, \tau])\]

Spatial Example

Prior to fitting a spatial cluster model with clustTMB, users need to set up the constrained Delaunay Triangulation network using the R package, fmesher. This package provides a CRAN distributed collection of mesh functions developed for the package, R-INLA. For guidance on setting up an appropriate mesh, see Triangulation details and examples and Tools for mesh assessment from

In this example, the following mesh specifications were used:

loc <- meuse[, 1:2]
Bnd <- fmesher::fm_nonconvex_hull(as.matrix(loc), convex = 200)
meuse.mesh <- fmesher::fm_mesh_2d(as.matrix(loc),
  max.edge = c(300, 1000),
  boundary = Bnd
)

Coordinates are converted to a spatial point dataframe and read into the clustTMB model, along with the mesh, using the spatial.list argument. The gating formula is specified using the gmrf() command:

Loc <- sf::st_as_sf(loc, coords = c("x", "y"))
mod <- clustTMB(
  response = meuse[, 3:6],
  family = lognormal(link = "identity"),
  gatingformula = ~ gmrf(0 + 1 | loc),
  G = 4, covariance.structure = "VVV",
  spatial.list = list(loc = Loc, mesh = meuse.mesh)
)
## Warning: the 'nobars' function has moved to the reformulas package. Please update your imports, or ask an upstream package maintainer to do so.
## This warning is displayed once per session.
## intercept removed from gatingformula
##             when random effects specified
## spatial projection is turned off. Need to provide locations in projection.list$grid.df for spatial predictions

Models are optimized with nlminb(), model results can be viewed with nlminb commands:

# Estimated fixed parameters
mod$opt$par
##      betag      betag      betag      betad      betad      betad      betad 
##  0.1684272  0.5589378  0.1889232  2.0157791  4.3160890  5.4259833  6.7095849 
##      betad      betad      betad      betad      betad      betad      betad 
##  1.0164096  3.6119051  5.2215837  6.2274886  0.1353933  3.1482191  4.2137136 
##      betad      betad      betad      betad      betad      theta      theta 
##  5.2614042 -1.4361507  3.1132988  4.2118618  5.1996602 -1.2100791 -2.9055432 
##      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta 
## -1.2794726 -1.2502149 -2.5718253 -3.1310740 -2.2406065 -2.3780280 -1.8212753 
##      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta      theta 
## -4.0603289 -2.6424671 -3.0432333 -2.4648456 -3.3381134 -2.7804359 -2.6686126 
##  ln_kappag 
## -5.9298671
# Minimum negative log likelihood
mod$opt$objective
## [1] 2318.831

Gating Network Examples

When random effects, \(\mathbb{u}\), are specified in the gating network, the probability of cluster membership \(\pi_{i,g}\) for observation \(i\) is fit using multinomial regression:

\[ \begin{align} \mathbb{\eta}_{,g} &= X\mathbb{\beta}_{,g} + \mathbb{u}_{,g} \\ \mathbb{\pi}_{,g} &= \frac{ exp(\mathbb{\eta}_{,g})}{\sum^{G}_{g=1}exp(\mathbb{\eta}_{,g})} \end{align} \]